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3Blue1Brown's Probability Challenge Solved! 6 месяцев назад


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3Blue1Brown's Probability Challenge Solved!

Based on the challenge problem posted by ‪@3blue1brown‬ here: https://x.com/3blue1brown/status/1833... My finished "blackboard" for this problem can be found here https://drive.google.com/file/d/1KAgt... This problem is about proving that the product of uniform random variables to the power of another uniform random variable (xy)^z is equal in distribution to a uniform random variable u. This ends up being a fact about exponential and uniform random variables and is related to a beta random variable times a gamma random variable. 0:00 3Blue1Brown combination of uniforms is again uniform 1:00 Numerical verification with Monte Carlo 1:50 Take logs to reduce to exponentials 3:45 minus log uniform is exponential proof sketch 4:37 Exponential is the same as uniform times sum of exponentials 5:40 Cartoon proof using Poisson point process 10:00 The discrete version with Geometric random variables 16:42 Precise calculation of uniform from 1 to G1 + G2 is Geometric 24:42 Using the limit as p goes to zero to get back the result for exponentials

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