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The Planning Fallacy: Why You Struggle to Finish on Time 3 года назад


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The Planning Fallacy: Why You Struggle to Finish on Time

The planning fallacy makes us underestimate how long it takes to complete our tasks. This video presents two studies showcasing this effect on psychology students. The conclusion is that it is better to use an outside view approach rather than an inside view approach when dealing with planning and completion estimates. 🟠 Patreon:   / rationalanimations   🟢Merch: https://rational-animations-shop.four... 🔵 Channel membership:    / @rationalanimations   🟤 Ko-fi, for one-time and recurring donations: https://ko-fi.com/rationalanimations This video is based on a blog post on LessWrong, by Eliezer Yudkowsky: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CPm5L... Studies cited: 1. Roger Buehler, Dale Griffin, and Michael Ross, “Exploring the ‘Planning Fallacy’: Why People Underestimate Their Task Completion Times,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 67, no. 3 (1994): 366–381. 2. Ian R. Newby-Clark et al., “People Focus on Optimistic Scenarios and Disregard Pessimistic Scenarios While Predicting Task Completion Times,” Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied 6, no. 3 (2000): 171–182.

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