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How Winter Might Be Ukraine's Ally

Check out my book "What Caused the Russia-Ukraine War": https://amzn.to/3HY5aqW. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at https://amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (These are affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. This means that even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) Much of the public discourse regarding winter and the war suggests that the change in weather will hurt Ukraine's chances by giving Russia more time to regroup. Russia indeed will benefit from that, but the overall relationship is not so simple. Freezing temperatures and snow will give Ukraine an upper hand on other dimensions. Ultimately, we may come to see winter as Ukraine's ally. 0:00 Winter in Ukraine 1:59 War Is a Political Decision 3:06 Winning Is Zero Sum 3:59 Conventional Wisdom: Winter Helps Russia 7:02 Winter Does Not Freeze Conflict 10:01 How Winter Can Facilitate Conflict 12:53 Rotating Units 15:45 Supply Logistics 17:37 The Crimean Bridge 18:59 Military Discipline 22:16 Infrastructure Bombing 23:34 German Support 25:26 Misplay of the Week: Sam Bankman-Fried Media licensed under CC BY 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... From US Army: https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldier... https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldier... https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldier... https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldier... https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldier... https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldier... https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldier... Media licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... From Ministry of Defense of Ukraine: https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministr... Media licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... From Bundesarchiv: https://www.bild.bundesarchiv.de/dba/... From RIA Novosti: http://visualrian.ru/ru/site/gallery/... Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... From Ministry of Defense of Ukraine: http://www.mil.gov.ua/news/2017/01/12... https://armyinform.com.ua/2022/03/29/... From Kyiv City: https://kyivcity.gov.ua/photo/ItemIma... From Rosavtodor.ru: http://rosavtodor.ru/about/upravlenie... https://rosavtodor.gov.ru/about/uprav... https://rosavtodor.gov.ru/about/uprav... From Kremlin.ru: http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/presi... http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/presi... http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president... http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/presi... http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/presi... http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/presi... http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/presi... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president... http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president... http://kremlin.ru/events/security-cou... http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president... http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... http://kremlin.ru/events/president/ne... Media licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... From Mediazona: https://en.zona.media/article/2022/10...