Скачать с ютуб Behavioural Research UK: Causality, evidence and policy in behavioural research в хорошем качестве

Behavioural Research UK: Causality, evidence and policy in behavioural research

Speakers: Professor Nancy Cartwright ( University of Durham), Dr Julia Rohrer (Universität Leipzig) and David Shipworth (UCL). Chair: Professor David Lagnado (UCL). Most problems faced by policy makers involve causal questions: How do we promote healthier eating? How do we reduce energy consumption? How do we improve online safety? But various challenges arise in identifying causal relations and applying them to policy-relevant issues, especially those that involve human behaviour. For example, RCTs are seen as ‘gold standard’ evidence but are contextually fragile, Theories of Change are the hallmark for policy development but are often too weakly tied to evidence, and policy evaluation is often designed and conducted post-hoc. Can a richer understanding of causal mechanisms offer a route to integrate theory, evidence and evaluation in the policy process, making it agile and able to deliver better outcomes? In this webinar these questions were explored with two invited speakers and a panel discussion. Julia Rohrer introduced the causal modelling framework as a reasoning tool for drawing robust conclusions from empirical data on human behaviour. Nancy Cartwright illustrated how middle level theory can help in making better theories of change that underwrite more thorough bodies of evidence for causal claims that should in turn make these claims more reliable. As well as Q&A after each talk, there was a panel discussion where we further explored these questions and asked how BR-UK can support better use of causal approaches to inform policy decision making